Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox.
Picked from 272 selections across 83 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price. The player report, the team report and Build a slip have the rest.
Or open the player report, open the screener or see the track record
Check your inbox — click the link in the confirmation email and the player report will follow.
Widest gaps on the Wed 4 Nov slate
- SHORTER PRICESthe strongest records
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10/111.92 BetMGMRuben Aguilar 2+ fouls committedWing-backRC Lens v ComoLast 10 games 5 of 10 games1.5 a gameA typical starter2 of 10Match-up Soft match-up give up the 3rd-most fouls of 36
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4/51.83 bet365Callum Doyle 1+ shotsWide centre-backWrexham v MiddlesbroughLast 10 games 5 of 10 games0.7 a gameA typical starter5 of 10Match-up Tough match-up give up the 3rd-fewest shots of 24
- AROUND EVENSa harder line, a bigger return
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2/13.00 bet365Kodai Sano 1+ shots on targetCentral midfielderPSV Eindhoven v Club Brugge KVLast 10 games 5 of 10 games0.5 a gameA typical starter3 of 10Match-up Soft match-up give up the 7th-most shots on target of 36
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13/82.62 bet365Jan Bednarek 1+ shotsCentre-backFC Porto v SSC NapoliLast 10 games 7 of 10 games0.8 a gameA typical starter5 of 10Match-up Even match-up give up the 15th-most shots of 36
- LONGER PRICES3/1 and up, record still checked
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3/14.00 bet365Alexis Mac Allister 3+ fouls committedCentral midfielderFenerbahçe v LiverpoolLast 10 games 3 of 10 games1.4 a gameA typical starter1 of 10Match-up Soft match-up give up the 1st-most fouls of 36
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9/25.50 bet365Armando Obispo To be cardedCentre-backPSV Eindhoven v Club Brugge KVLast 10 games 3 of 10 games0.3 a gameA typical starter1 of 10Match-up Even match-up give up the 13th-most cards of 36
- ALSO ON THIS SLATEranked on record
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7/24.50 BetMGMAidan Morris 3+ shotsCentral midfielderWrexham v MiddlesbroughLast 10 games 3 of 10 games2.4 a gameA typical starter1 of 10Match-up Soft match-up give up the 5th-most shots of 24
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9/25.50 Paddy PowerMax Kilman To be cardedCentre-backCardiff City v West HamLast 10 games 3 of 10 games0.3 a gameA typical starter1 of 10Match-up Even match-up give up the 12th-most cards of 24
Baseline = the share of player-games where a starter playing 60+ minutes met the same line, over finished fixtures in that league's most recent full season. The model’s verdict is in Pro. See every player on the slate
HOW IT WORKS
The model does the research. You make the call.
WHAT MEMBERS GET
Two reports and Build a slip, £39 a month
The player report
The model’s probability beside the price’s on every player line, grouped by match or sorted your way, with the record, the head to head, why the model rates it and the higher lines in the same market.
What members see: a player report card from the 10 October slate.
Open the player reportThe team report
Every team line at 1/2 or longer, rated on each side’s record over the last 10, 20 and 40, and the head to head.
What members see: a team report card from the 13 October slate.
Open the team reportBuild a slip
Name a target price and a bookmaker. It picks one leg per match from both reports and shows why each one is there.
What members see: a slip built from the 10 October slate with every filter on Any.
Build a slipHow this weekend's referees compare
Appointed officialsA cards bet is partly a bet on the official. Each official’s card rate, against the league average.
More cards than the league
Fewer cards than the league
One input to the model; it does not decide a card on its own. All officials
From the live track record — how accurate the numbers are, not how much they won. Wins and losses alike: the model grades itself in public.
218 of 273 markets earn a verdict. The 55 that don’t beat guessing are marked on the track record.
14 competitions, each with a public graded record
Match-upsTrack record
Match-upsTrack record
Match-upsTrack record
Match-upsTrack record
Match-upsTrack record
Match-upsTrack record
Match-upsTrack record
Match-upsTrack record
Match-upsTrack record
STRAIGHT ANSWERS
Before you sign up
New in October
All updatesThe long version, with the actual statistics, lives on the methodology page — and the guides walk through the ideas one at a time, in plain English. Who's behind this, and where to get help if the fun stops.